The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility") Horror_Gift_Guide Named a Best Book of

Named a Best Book of the Year by NPR and Science Friday

is nothing to begin with

Until he finally sees his chance to escape

cripple turned torturer

Daphne must use her wits

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility") Horror_Gift_Guide Named a Best Book ofNEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER The most influential book of the past seventy five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we dont know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable,